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Intro: "In about a month, if nothing is done, the federal government will hit its legal debt limit. There will be dire consequences if this limit isn't raised. At best, we'll suffer an economic slowdown; at worst we'll plunge back into the depths of the 2008-9 financial crisis."

Portrait, New York Times columnist Paul Krugman, 06/15/09. (photo: Fred R. Conrad/NYT)
Portrait, New York Times columnist Paul Krugman, 06/15/09. (photo: Fred R. Conrad/NYT)


To the Limit

By Paul Krugman, The New York Times

01 July 11

In about a month, if nothing is done, the federal government will hit its legal debt limit. There will be dire consequences if this limit isn't raised. At best, we'll suffer an economic slowdown; at worst we'll plunge back into the depths of the 2008-9 financial crisis.

So is a failure to raise the debt ceiling unthinkable? Not at all.

Many commentators remain complacent about the debt ceiling; the very gravity of the consequences if the ceiling isn't raised, they say, ensures that in the end politicians will do what must be done. But this complacency misses two important facts about the situation: the extremism of the modern GOP, and the urgent need for President Obama to draw a line in the sand against further extortion.

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+69 # Capn Canard 2011-07-01 07:12
The GOP has been completely bought and sold by the plunderers of our economy. They are the most despicable anti-human force imaginable there is no evil to compare it with.
 
 
+31 # iam 2011-07-01 09:33
Besides asteroids re-melting the earth, conservatism is the last great threat to civilization.
 
 
+5 # CommonSense 2011-07-02 15:28
Uh, George Orwell would disagree:
"The power of holding two contradictory beliefs in one's mind simultaneously, and accepting both of them....To tell deliberate lies while genuinely believing in them, to forget any fact that has become inconvenient, and then, when it becomes necessary again, to draw it back from oblivion for just so long as it is needed, to deny the existence of objective reality and all the while to take account of the reality which one denies- all this is indispensably necessary."
- George Orwell, 1984, on "doublethink".
 
 
-9 # forparity 2011-07-01 15:57
I uh, think you might want to look up the definition of the word, bigot, in few dictionaries. Your intolerance of an entire body is more than telling.

Some of the greatest (most genuine, most giving, most caring, most tolerant, people I know in my life are Democrats - some are Republicans. Some are liberals -some are conservatives.

Such talk is evil - and extremely anti-human existence.

And, last I checked, the corporate jet tax credits that Obama mentioned 7 times yesterday, were a part of the Democrat's 2009 Stimulus Bill (and there is much worse in it).

Politics is dirty business - there are few above it - in either party - but there are many, in both, that aspire to it.
 
 
-1 # SimonYSays 2011-07-02 15:44
"The mind of a bigot is like the pupil of the eye. The more light you shine on it, the more it will contract."
- Oliver Wendell Holmes Jr.

Sometimes I wonder if Dr. Krugman is aware of the fact that "money" is a) an imaginary construct;
b) that substantially influences everyone's life; and
c) that is currently controlled by a very small number or very unaccountable individuals.

Even "the Dark Ages" in the West typically had general assemblies for public business. When's the last time anyone here saw or went to a 'Town Hall' meeting that wasn't as scripted & stilted as High School Musical?
 
 
-11 # TheGreatPumpkin 2011-07-01 07:55
Dems also are bought and paid for by banking cartel and other corporate interests. Ever wonder why they roll over after token, missed-the-point-entirely objections to republican agendas? This is all a puppet show for your entertainment. Comparable evil: Nazis.
 
 
0 # CommonSense 2011-07-02 16:03
The Younger generation understands you, TGP.
 
 
+1 # NHpete 2011-07-02 16:52
George Orwell wrote, in Animal Farm, "The creatures outside looked from pig to man, and from man to pig, and from pig to man again; but already it was impossible to say which was which."

Having written this, I believe the Dems have a Liberal history which can tend to drag them to Left, at least occasionally. This is happening less and less as the rich are much, much richer.

Regards your Nazi comment. Yes, money (or lack of) can cause as much damage as guns. It's not as noisy, and for that reason a little less apparent.
 
 
+3 # CTPatriot 2011-07-04 02:02
It would appear that the OFAers and other Democratic party loyalists have been tasked with down rating critical comments on this site. It's election season after all, and Barack Obama needs to construct another award winning marketing campaign, only this time in the face of a base that knows enough not to get fooled again.

So I guess you bring out the shock troops to provide the appearance that Democrats still have lots of support. Have at me you OFA losers. It won't change the truth that today's Democratic party is nothing more than the kinder, gentler corporatist party. No doubt that will soon be reinforced by all the entitlement cuts that Democrats are "forced" to make in order to raise the debt ceiling.
 
 
+41 # mikeharveyz@cs.com 2011-07-01 08:43
As you've correctly stated, the time has come to take a stand against the extortion, even if it has dire short-term consequences. The alternative is to pack up and give over the presidency to the insanity of the republican ideology (as practiced by the radical right). Let's not forget McConnell's quote (as leader of the Senate minority) that his sole focus and goal is to bring about the failure of the Obama presidency. Unconscionable!
 
 
+16 # Sallyport 2011-07-01 08:49
In light of his performance to date, it will be surprising if Obama doesn't seek to mollify the extortionists by going all the way and not only not raising taxes, but actually cutting the rates for the richest, the rentiers, the corporations, & the financial playboys.
 
 
+1 # rf 2011-07-04 06:38
Obama will only give what Obama really wants but can't show. He is a closet Republican. He is a fake weakling...in order to appear to not be right wing.
 
 
+29 # fredboy 2011-07-01 08:52
Paul, on target as always.

I laugh until my ribs hurt. When Greenspan tossed a monkey wrench into the economy in 2000 to stop the Dems, I predicted this. When he hollowed out the interest rates to one percent, as Bush and his academic pinheads marched us into "war", I predicted a "polar bear economy" and housing bubble--and lots and lots of theft. Then derivatives, totally unregulated (thus outlaw), erupted like cancer.

I laugh not because every city, county and state was ruptured by these actions, not that the federal government went from surplus to hideous deficit, not because every social and eco program of value is now targeted. I laugh because it was all foreseeable--hell, it was known--and we let them let it happen.

And what puts me in hysterics is we then let them get away with it. And--talk about a set up for an ass kicking--we're letting them get away with it now.

I laugh, quite simply, to keep my sanity amid this slimy, awful mess.

The deficit is not the problem. People are the problem.
 
 
+27 # propsguy 2011-07-01 09:17
we let them? how can we stop them? elections do nothing. individual people can only act as individuals. these people have an agenda and we are their pawns. they don't care who suffers or is destroyed as long as they get what they want.
 
 
0 # forparity 2011-07-01 15:52
Yep, it was reported that Nancy Pelosi's net worth increased by some 69% during the past year, or so.
 
 
-13 # forparity 2011-07-01 16:01
I don't think that it was Greenspan that regulated this (and this was just after HUD regulated that lending standards for poor minorities be lowered to linoleum level:

Oct. 2000 - HUD ANNOUNCES NEW REGULATIONS TO PROVIDE $2.4 TRILLION IN MORTGAGES FOR AFFORDABLE HOUSING FOR 28.1 MILLION FAMILIES
http://archives.hud.gov/news/2000/pr00-317.html

Read - there is where the housing bubble was born, fueled, and how the credit crisis began. From that point on - damn near everyone in the US added fuel to the fire in the never ending want to get rich quick. Greed has few straglers.

Bubbles go up - bubbles go down. All are damaged.
 
 
+11 # Ken Hall 2011-07-01 20:46
4p: There was nothing in the HUD regulations that lowered standards for mortgages for minorities, etc. The "free market" deregulation of conservatives resulted in drastic deregulation, eliminating sensible financial oversight. This resulted in "liar's loans", as William Black calls them, that were the vast majority of the subprime loans that failed. They were pushed shamelessly by Countrywide and other predatory lenders. There was a provision in the HUD regulations that attempted to counter this chicanery: "...the new regulations also disallow GSEs (Government Sponsored Enterprises i.e. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac) from receiving affordable housing goals credit for the purchase of mortgage loans with predatory features." The bubble was the result of deregulation and "free market" economics, not gov't intervention on behalf of low income citizens.
 
 
-5 # forparity 2011-07-02 08:45
Ken - well, OK- technically it was Fannie reg this back in the 90's.

Two GSEs that HUD oversees are Fannie/Freddie.

OK - so it was Fannie that ordered lowered lending standards- then they all engaged in marketing this to millions of poor minorities, via CountrywideFina ncial - their signed partner - and community organizing groups.

See NYT's "Fannie Mae Eases Credit To Aid Mortgage Lending". --"Fannie.. has been under increasing pressure from the Clinton Admin to expand mortgage loans among low/ moderate income people."

You understand that HUD in 1999 and 2000 was ordering up - regulating - massive and historic new housing goals:

Oct. 2000 - HUD ANNOUNCES NEW REGULATIONS TO PROVIDE $2.4 TRILLION IN MORTGAGES FOR AFFORDABLE HOUSING FOR 28.1 MILLION FAMILIES
http://archives.hud.gov/news/2000/pr00-317.html

All by itself, that was key in creating the housing bubble - driven by regulated demand, which in turn created meteoric inflation in home values, inviting everyone into the party to play;to get their share. Like this:

In 2001, some 7mil refinanced mortgages, with over 1/2 taking out cash in the process. Fannie est the cash generated by these refinancings at $80 billion, a significant infusion of capital into an otherwise sluggish economy."

W/o HUD's leadership - there'd been no crisis.
 
 
-2 # forparity 2011-07-02 08:54
Once again - Countrywide Financial entered into a strategic marketing alliance with Fannie Mae in 1999. By the end of 2000, Countrywide was the leading lender to poor minorities in the country. The "deregulation" under Clinton had nothing to do with this.

I'm not going to argue - Bill Clinton did, however - that Clinton's effort with Geithner, Summers, Greenspan and Gramm didn't add to the crisis, notably in the end - but had the housing bubble not been built by HUD - something entirely different would have occurred.

For one thing - without the housing bubble that Bush inherited - and pushed a tiny bit more himself - the Bush years, would never have experienced a economy growing out of the recession and fallout from the 2000 dot.com Enron bubble collapse - made worse by 9/11.

And that would have been a good thing - as we could have started dealing with the economic collapse of the US earlier - had this historic bubble had not been built an allowed to fester.

The combined effects of the dot.com bubble and the housing bubble are indeed taking their toll.

The country should have at least a layman conversation about the economic horror created by the late 90's..

Not to mention that it was the most deadly period for the world (genocides and civil wars) since the end of WW II.
 
 
+4 # Ken Hall 2011-07-02 20:11
Bunch of baloney, 4p, and I think you know it. Your revisionist history flies in the face of all facts and analysis that I've come across from sources I trust. The FMs had higher standards than the private markets and got into the subprime market way late in the bubble. With the deregulation pushed through by conservatives and the inception of MERS, the secondary mortgage market didn't need the FMs. In 2001 the FMs share of market was about 50%. After that they lost market share and, while their venture into subprimes in 2007 was ill-advised, they did it in an attempt to win back some of the market. There was no banking crisis between the New Deal and Reagan's administration, when deregulation was pushed by the Friedmanites. Without deregulation there would have been no crisis and no Great Recession.
 
 
-3 # forparity 2011-07-02 22:55
Gee, that's not nice. Come at me with something, OK I put up a number of factual items - in the proper historical timeline -- I noted a good ten points (I'm not counting) - take em apart from the first post above - OK. I'm not making up the record - and I referenced a good bit.

There's more than one point to how this crisis was born, was fueled, was unregulated, and how it festered before it became a credit crisis.

And, MERS has nothing to do with any of this, other than a bump in the road in the efficiency of the paper trail process.
 
 
0 # rf 2011-07-04 06:42
The bubble was maintaained to give Bush an economy...otherwise his anticks would have put the economy in the s#*tter.
 
 
0 # rf 2011-07-04 06:40
The big story not told...that many state pension funds and union pension funds were sold mortgage backed securities while the hedges were preserved for the billionaire pals of Goldman. These folks should be hanging in the town square!
 
 
+12 # Servelan 2011-07-01 08:58
Somebody send Obama a packet of testicle seeds so he can grow a pair....
 
 
+7 # Pickwicky 2011-07-01 14:15
Obama doesn't need a packet of seeds, he needs a second term. We've watched him succeed in some important areas and try and fail in some important areas, mainly hampered by Republicans (to the point of torment). And bear in mind, hampered by the need to have a second term. There's entirely too much to accomplish in one term. Stop complaining about Obama and help him.
 
 
+1 # camus11 2011-07-01 16:48
maybe you voted for Eisenhower redux; i thought i was voting (and contributing) for real change. As i posted elsewhere, Obama has proved himself to be Hillary but without the testosterone.
 
 
+1 # CTPatriot 2011-07-04 02:12
Even Eisenhower would have been to the left of Obama and most of today's Democratic party.
 
 
+1 # rf 2011-07-04 06:47
HIllary is half of the Clinton clan...remember all of the business friendly deregulation we got from the clintons? Hillary might be worse in a more efficient way.
 
 
+1 # CTPatriot 2011-07-04 02:11
What should we help him with? Starting more wars? I hear we're now striking Somalia with Drones. That would be a 6th war. Should we help him find more whistle blowers to torture and prosecute? Perhaps we should help him extend the Bush tax cuts again, or find new ways to shovel tax payer dollars into the for-profit insurance industry?

I get dizzy thinking of all the great accomplishments of the last 3 years.
 
 
+24 # Lulie 2011-07-01 09:32
I'm so tired of being afraid of the Republicans. Their crap ruins lives, including mine.
 
 
+8 # Wynne Dimock 2011-07-01 09:57
SOCIOPATHY RULES....AND NOW, MAYBE HAS MOVED ON TO
PSYCHOPATHY.......
 
 
+12 # lvpapa 2011-07-01 10:09
So what happens to the Treasury bond market if the debt ceiling isn't raised? I hope Repubs own lots and lots of bonds.
 
 
+1 # fredboy 2011-07-01 12:30
Propsguy, good question. If we follow that reasoning, maybe we should be called the Helpless Citizens of America. Poor us...
 
 
+8 # kitster 2011-07-01 13:23
the war going on in washington is hidden from the general public. most of the combatants are oblivious as well. but the real economists know. it is between the advocate of keynesian economics...the system articulated during the great depression by john maynard keynes, which actually, with the war, worked us out of the great depression...and the followers of unfettered markets espoused by fredrick hayek and milton friedman. unfortunately, the unfettered market morons are winning. the keynesians have the likes of obama and his appeasers to carry the banner of the economics that has kept this country strong and it's people reasonably cared for for the last eighty years. might and money versus right...and the conservative dupes who continually vote against their own best interests are tipping the scale for the money changers and greed-is-everything group. "rise up you victims of opression...you have nothing if you have no rights". this is what we're heading for...and we have only the lame, the halt and the blind begging our cause. be afraid, america, be very afraid.
 
 
+4 # archosaur 2011-07-01 14:33
Why isn't there a website with a score card of concessions so that all can see who is intransigent and who is trying to work in good faith.
The website should show score cards for the balance of the benefits to the rich and to the middle class. It seems that Republicans only try to benefit the rich and they seem so clueless about how trickle down is a proven failure. At the same time, that they try to benefit the rich, they call foul and say that all others are in a class warfare. If classes were treated equally, there would be no need for warfare.
 
 
+4 # camus11 2011-07-01 16:18
the gop should be labeled a terrorist organization; after all, they want to bring this country to its knees to further their radical, extremist, jihadist "christian" goals. Al Qaeda must be in cahoots with these goose-steppers.
 
 
+3 # VSweet 2011-07-01 17:21
What economic slow down? It has already began!!

If the Republicans think they are hurting the poor in this country..THEY ARE!

If the Republicans think they will shut down government...THEY WILL!

If the Republicans think their attack on the poor, unemployed, is not painful enough IT IS!

The more they attack the poor, unemployed and disadvantage in this nation and the majority of all these people are affected, a major calamity of despair will be felt by all. Not only will it affect our governmental affairs, it will affect MORE businesses as well. The majority of people are poor, unemployed and disadvantaged and we are the largest CONSUMERS in our communities. THE Republicans WILL FEEL The BIG BANG of REALITY! It's coming!!!

Republicans will reap what they are sowing and it will be doubled!!!
 
 
0 # rf 2011-07-04 06:50
In a country that sucks for the majority...the majority sees little value of the country. Remember the French revolution.
 
 
+4 # ritaague 2011-07-02 06:48
Let's not make the mistake of assuming the obviously intentional dumping of the economy into the toilet is merely for the purpose of making Pres. Obama look bad at his job, thereby assisting in fixing the 2012 elections in favor of the villainaire rulers - the Koch's and their Kochsucking candidates.

Let's not dismiss the very real likelihood that the recession/depression ploy, all done while record profits roll into the coffers of the wealthiest, is for the purpose of keeping we the sheeple MSD'd - manipulated, spun, distracted. After all, what could be more distracting than worry about putting food on the table and keeping a roof overhead?

The villainiares cannot have lots of folks revolting, Wisconsin style or even more threatening to those rulers wealth and total power over all, now can they?

Come on folks nationwide. Time to revolt and work, work, work, and fight together to restore liberty and justice for all, and UNDO THE COUP as we boot out the greedy ones, just as a beloved man/God named Jesus did when he booted the money grabbers out of the temple.
 
 
+1 # rwspisak 2011-07-03 04:37
Villionaires... Excellent! thanks
solidarity & peace

Rick@Averyvoice .com
 
 
+3 # Linda 2011-07-02 09:16
You know I can't help but wonder if this is not a game both parties are playing against the American people !
The last time a deal was made the rich got their tax cuts supposedly to save the Middle class tax breaks and Social Security . Now its Medicare and Medicaid but if you look closer at what is being done money is being taken out of Social Security with these payroll tax cuts they made the last time around and will do again this time around . Right now Social Security is good to pay full benefits till 2036 but if they keep losing money from these payroll tax cuts they will run out of money sooner . Is this the plan both sides have for Social Security as well as Medicare and Medicaid ? Do they want to end all these programs and come out of it looking like they didn't and fought for the people.
I am begining to think this is exactly what they are leading up to while one side blames the other .
 
 
-1 # SimonYSays 2011-07-02 15:52
In the late 19th century, they (or Thomas Nast, anyway) used to call this phenomenon "Tweedle Dee & Tweedle Dum"
 
 
+1 # rf 2011-07-04 06:55
Look up how many rich people there are in the Senate and House...you'll see who they work for. We need only public financing of election campaigns. We need disciplinary action for the supreme court justices who take bribes.
 
 
+2 # reiverpacific 2011-07-02 20:34
It's called "Back to slavery" or "Feudalism" if you want to call it that -but this time for everybody under the elite bracket.
These people want nothing less that your total submission and yet we have been suffering under the delusion that the original settlers wanted to escape a monarchy -which their descendants seem to be bent on imposing on us again (happy 4th y'all!).
So where do we flee to this time -Mars? Betelguese 11? Venezuela? Cuba (except that Capitalism seems to be catching hold there like GM seeds drifting southeast from it's failed motherland!)? Any more suggestions, like mass suicide or a general strike? Please regard your sense(s) of humor as a last bastion of defense -it baffles the power seekers every time.
 
 
+2 # Tom Key 2011-07-02 21:58
Quoting
Yep, it was reported that Nancy Pelosi's net worth increased by some 69% during the past year, or so.

To be fair, her wealth is in a "blocked" trust, the increase was not related to anything she was trying to get enacted, and she has been working hard to re-build the middle class and pass legislation which would increase the taxes she pays. What's your point?
 

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