Krugman writes: "In a better world - specifically, a world with a better policy elite - a good jobs report would be cause for unalloyed celebration. In the world we actually inhabit, however, every silver lining comes with a cloud."
Portrait, New York Times columnist Paul Krugman, 06/15/09. (photo: Fred R. Conrad/NYT)
Things Are Not O.K.
06 February 12
n a better world - specifically, a world with a better policy elite - a good jobs report would be cause for unalloyed celebration. In the world we actually inhabit, however, every silver lining comes with a cloud. Friday’s report was, in fact, much better than expected, and has made many people, myself included, more optimistic. But there’s a real danger that this optimism will be self-defeating, because it will encourage and empower the purge-and-liquidate crowd.
So, about that jobs report: it was genuinely good, certainly compared with the dreariness that has become the norm. Notably, for once falling unemployment was the real thing, reflecting growing availability of jobs rather than workers dropping out of the labor force, and hence out of the unemployment measure.
Furthermore, it’s not hard to see how this recovery could become self-sustaining. In particular, at this point America is seriously under-housed by historical standards, because we’ve built very few houses in the six years since the housing bubble popped. The main thing standing in the way of a housing bounce-back is a sharp fall in household formation - econospeak for lots of young adults living with their parents because they can’t afford to move out. Let enough Americans find jobs and get homes of their own, and housing, which got us into this slump, could start to power us out.
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I say political because the unspoken truth about raising taxes on the wealthy is that it raises the income of the middle class. If an employer faces the choice of paying more taxes on his own pay or raising the pay of his employees and deducting that raise, he (or she) will give out the raise.
Allow some inflation; which the fed has demonstrated they can control, then wages increases. Raise the minimum wage to help the poor working class, and raise taxes on the wealthy. The economy will begin to self generate jobs and revenues increase.
This is without a stimulus, imagine if we also had an entire infrastructue recreation! Exactly what the righties fear, proof again thta the Left is almost always the right choice.
Obama's crowing about the job figures represents the co option, distortion, propaganda of all class ideologues, who leave out facts, lies through omission to hide the reality of the failure of Late capitalism, and the whole of class history, itself.
Slaves have jobs, but no income, and many people have had to take drastic pay cuts from middle class jobs that no longer exist. This constant push to enslave, crush, destroy the middle classes, while pushing for fascist austerity throughout the world, will create a crash in itself, when demand fails to enrich the fascist parasitical 1 percent, because it destroyed the class-wealth mechanism itself, with the collapse of global middle classes and global revolutions to take down this unstated reality and propaganda.
I think the calculation you described was for the jobs filled rate?
The unemployment rate is not, as far as I know, calculated using available jobs in the equation. Why? Because it is irrelevant to the jobless rate. To make it relevant you need to take into account that the number of jobs created by each new job. But then, what you are calculating is potential jobs at 100% employment. That number, of course, is a forecast, which we all know has a degrading reliability at each generation of calculation.
I am sure a full fledged economist could describe it better, but in short you just used a typical Right Wing tactic of changing the subject.
Right! And they never include those who have given up looking (rising daily) and small business owners who have been buried as part of the domino effect.
Stat's can do anything you want them to -except reflect the true nature of the beast at issue.
Minus??
But I have to say that to me, Krugman gets the self-sustaining part backside-foremost.
Wouldn't it make more sense to focus on creating work by a nationwide renovation and upgrade on the infrastructure which we all depend on no matter how poor or wealthy, especially public transport and EVEN MORE ESPECIALLY high-speed inter-city rail with central hubs and regional spurs so that dependence on the automobile is considerably diminished and social interchange encouraged.
This could be partially jump-started by diminishing the military to "lean and mean, defense-only" status, as it already has more than it needs to destroy the planet?
THEN the housing problem could be in turn addressed, including renovation, remodeling and sale or lease (by the government) of the properties to the new employed, ergo the private housing industry could recover as part of a more natural sequence of sustainable recovery. As part of this recovery, mandated and even subsidized requirements that a large percentage of renovated and new housing be have solar as part of the upgrade. -Germany is already doing this so don't tell me it "can't be done".
I'm not a hi-flyin' analytical economist like Mr. Kruger but simply proposing basic, ol' fashioned common sense of sequence, cause and effect.
The system is broken for the blue collar crowd who are still disproportionat ely affected by the new economy.
Some states (such as mine-Florida) have declined reiverpacific's "upgrade on the
infrastructure" solution.Down here in the sun baked South the elected officials don't look to kindly on "big government" solutions to job creation.
Seems to me it sure would have made sense on many fronts for Governor Scott to accept that 2 billion he snubbed his nose at for high speed rail.He was only slightly criticized when he declined the federal moola as he was only being a concerned steward of the tax payers dollar. In many states these days the mood is similar when looking at state legislatures and the Repug governors. It is the "trickle down" of anti-Obamaism.
So Krugman is right about his skepticism. Some jobs are being created-but I am guessing primarily in low paying retail and hospitality. Nothing much in the construction or manufacturing front where skilled tradesmen or machinists made a decent wage in years gone by. Combine this with the Right's attack or "purge" on anything union and a real recovery for the working man will not occur.
The banks and hiTech firms lobby the politicians to get cheaper labor.
Obama was recently asked at the yahoo town hall meeting about H1-B visas and his answer was the he hears that there is a shortage of engineers. It seems Obama is listening to the lobbyist and not the people
Politicians love corporate welfare
Corporations win/win
Real People lose/lose
Isn't that what it is all about?
WHY, Todd? does it really cost MORE to get a degree in engineering/science than it does to get a degree in almost any other field? OR is it just that Americans don't want to study to BE engineers/scientists? I am by no means a Republican, and i don't mean to sound "mean," but i DON'T GET IT ... PLEASE explain ...
I know many laid off engineers and many that have left the profession because of low pay and unstable work loads.
I just don't buy the shortage argument. More college kids would go into engineering if the pay was better.
I also know many recent engineering grads that are out of work . This would not be happening if there were not one million indians here on H1-B visas.
Well, some have been on enforced fasting for too long but I get y'r point.
Another apt Shakespearian quote would be from King Lear "Handy-Dandy, which the justice, which the thief"? -especially in these times.
Of course, as a socialist, I don't see anything other than a fundamental systemic change and abandonment of capitalism as being of lasting value. At the least we see that regardless of how many people have jobs the economy and the working class still goes downhill, and the rich get richer.
http://www.globalresearch.ca/index.php?context=va&aid=29120
PHONY DATA: America's "January Jobs" are Statistical Artifacts
by Dr. Paul Craig Roberts
Global Research, February 7, 2012
paulcraigrobert s.org
Last Friday the US Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that in the first month of this new year 243,000 jobs were created and the unemployment rate (U.3) fell to 8.3 percent. This good news is a mirage. It is due to faulty seasonal adjustments and to the BLS birth/death model. In a prolonged downturn, seasonal adjustments and the birth/death model produce nonexistent employment.
[...]
"Our problems have nothing to do with Democrats or Republicans".
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