Andrew Cockburn begins: "There is no denying that 2011 has been a banner year for taxpayer-funded assassinations - Osama bin Laden, Anwar Awlaki, five senior Pakistani Taliban commanders in October and many more. Given the crucial US backup role in Libya, and the ringing exhortation for the Libyan leader's death issued by Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton just before the event itself, we can probably take a lot of credit for Moammar Kadafi's messy end too."
File photo, Osama bin Laden. (photo: AP)
Assassination Backlash
06 November 11
It's been a banner year for targeted killings, but are they an effective way to fight terrorism?
here is no denying that 2011 has been a banner year for taxpayer-funded assassinations - Osama bin Laden, Anwar Awlaki, five senior Pakistani Taliban commanders in October and many more. Given the crucial US backup role in Libya, and the ringing exhortation for the Libyan leader's death issued by Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton just before the event itself, we can probably take a lot of credit for Moammar Kadafi's messy end too.
Once upon a time, US officials used to claim that we were merely targeting "command and control centers," rather than specific individuals, as in the hunt for Saddam Hussein during the 1991 Persian Gulf War or the raid on Kadafi in 1986. Nowadays no one bothers to pretend. Successful assassination missions, whether by elite special forces or remote-controlled drones, are openly celebrated.
Clearly, the sentiment prevalent among our leaders is that eliminating particular enemy leaders is bound to have a beneficial effect. Thus in our recent wars, the US has made the pursuit of "high-value targets," the principal objective of so-called human network attacks, a priority. "The platoon's mission is to kill or capture HVTs," recalled Matt Cook, a sergeant in the 101st Airborne based in northern Iraq in 2005. "That is all we do."
By 2008, according to a US Strategic Command study, our military was simultaneously engaged in no fewer than 285 human network attack programs.
So, now that assassination is an official tool of US foreign policy, along with trade embargoes and overseas aid, it is surely time for an open debate on whether it is indeed effective. Surprisingly for some, evidence based on hard numbers demonstrates unequivocally that the answer is no.
The numbers are derived from a study conducted in Iraq during the "surge" campaign of 2007-08 that enabled the US to declare victory and wind down the war. Key to the surge was an intensive and ruthless hunt for key individuals in the "IED networks" that were organizing homemade bomb attacks against US troops. Cause and effect - more dead network leaders leading to fewer bombs - seemed so self-evidently obvious that nobody bothered to check.
Early in 2008, however, Rex Rivolo, an analyst at the Counter-IED Operations/Intelligence Center attached to US headquarters in Baghdad, briefed his superiors on some hard realities of the campaign. With access to any and all information relating to US military operations in Iraq, he had identified about 200 successful missions in which key IED network individuals had been eliminated. Then he looked at the reports of subsequent bomb attacks in the late insurgent leader's area of operation. The results were clear: IED attacks went up, immediately and sharply. One week after the hit, on average, incidents within about three miles of the dead leader's home base had risen 20%.
Why, with the commander dead, did the enemy fight with such reinforced vigor? Eliminated enemy commanders, intelligence revealed, were almost always replaced at once, usually within 24 hours. "The new guy is going to work harder," Rivolo told me. "He has to prove himself, assert his authority. Maybe the old guy had been getting lazy, not working so hard to plant those IEDs. Fresh blood makes a difference."
Once posited, this consequence may appear obvious, but Rivolo's study, so far as I am aware, was the only time that anyone with access to relevant data had looked at the consequences of our principal national security strategy in a systematic way. However, even as he submitted his conclusions, the same strategy was being exported to Afghanistan on a major scale. Ever-increasing special forces "night raids" have indeed subsequently succeeded in killing large numbers of insurgent commanders (along with many civilians), but the consequences have been depressingly predictable.
"I used to be able to go talk to local Taliban commanders," a journalist long resident in Afghanistan told me, "but they are all dead. The ones who replaced them are much more dangerous. They don't want to talk to anyone at all."
Nongovernmental groups similarly report that the new breed of Taliban leadership is unwilling to allow the free passage of aid workers permitted by their assassinated predecessors. Neither in Afghanistan nor Pakistan, where high-value targets are the responsibility of the CIA's burgeoning killer-drone bureaucracy, is there any indication that the enemy's military capability has been diminished.
As Matthew Hoh, the foreign service officer who quit in protest at the futility of the Afghan war, told me recently, "War is a breeding ground for unintended consequences."
President Obama should think about that.
Andrew Cockburn is an investigative journalist and author. His article, "Search and Destroy: The Pentagon's Losing War Against IEDs," appears in the November issue of Harper's magazine.
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There are always going to be cells of terrorists, but this doesn't justify the ten-year war in Iraq which was ugly and resulted in the loss of too many American lives. Given the rampant corruption and unreliability of Afghanistan's leaders, it certainly doesn't justify the continuing war there.
There may be a limited use for drones, the collateral loss of innocent lives is a real issue.
We are wasting billions that could be used to help rebuild America, improve education here at home, and any number of worthwhile projects.
In the end the people of the Middle East must determine their own fate. For the most part they do not want occupation. We no longer have a right to be at war in an area of emerging democracy, and as has happened several times in the past, the military is not considering the unintended consequences.
Could this, perchance, apply to the U. S?
Or do you think it only applies to those "our" government attacks?
For example, suppose you're a poor person who lives in a poor country where a big company, home based in a rich nation, decides they're going to take over the resources of that country and could care less about the pollution, graft and corruption they leave in their wake. Then along comes a rich fanatic who can finance an operation that gives voice to your frustration.
To be continued...
Now, while someone who lives in that rich nation wouldn't think they deserve to be targeted by terrorism, do you think the poor person thinks they deserve to have their land, water and/or air polluted? (See Nigeria's oil fields.) Or their democratically elected government overthrown by an outside force? (Check out Iran 1953.) There are innumerable examples.
Violence begets violence and just because we in the "free market" bastion of capitalism can't grasp the relationship of what our government and major companies egregiously do IN OUR NAME to other nations doesn't mean that we aren't seen by those who are oppressed as a supporter of their oppressor and therefore a valid target for their hatred.
The problem we face is ignorance: ignorance on our part for not knowing what is done in our names and the ignorance of those who suffer at the hands of those seen as coming from our country or government that oppresses through a variety of means - often by supporting repressive and corrupt governments - as long as it serves our "national interest".
Let's wake up, folks, what goes around comes around. The law of karma (cause and effect) is always in play. I suggest we look in the mirror before casting missiles at others.
In the above I expressed my belief that no one, on either side of the violence issue who injures others in anything other than self-defense, is exonerated of guilt.
We finally did to OBL what he may have deserved for being the messianic fanatic who hated us because of our policies in the Middle East and may or may not have been directly responsible for funding 9/11.
Why was that approach a last resort and not the first? A lot less NATO soldiers and far more Afghanis and Pakistanis would be alive today had the coward from Texas done what we finally did.
But who's punishing the government of capitalist hegemony? Who's punishing Halliburton or Bechtel or ExxonMobil or Dow Chemical or Monsanto?
Until someone does (and we may be the only ones who can), we poor slobs on the streets will continue being seen as supporters of those criminals who see money as their god.
However, all that said, after reading the comments of most folks writing here, it is refreshing to see there are so many who apparently get it. Perhaps we are beginning to understand. From understanding comes the possibility of change.
OWS may be the beginning of substantial change. And I bend my knees in reverent gratitude to a young fruit vendor in Tunisia who sacrificed himself and started what may become true justice.
You hit the proverbial nail on the head here, unintentionally . We are those bullies you refer to and the primary reason these terrorists have us as their enemies is because we bully them, steal their oil, kill their people in the name of OUR national security with no concern what-so-ever for their national security. Too many people have bought into the propaganda that the people of the Middle East hate us because of our way of life, instead of because of the way we abuse them.
You seem to suggest at the end of what you wrote that should we leave them alone and leave their countries, they will leave us alone. So, if we had done this in the first place, left them alone, would we be suffering all of the results of the terrorism WE have created?
so many families have suffered the loss and hope in so many young lives which might have been saved if he'd brought the troops home from these useless and corrupt wars sooner. I would say this recent political manuever is too late and too little and too obviously for olitical gain to earn him any applause. You understand hypocricy in religion but don't you see it in government, on both sides? Petition Bernie Saunders to run in 2012 or Grayson or Hillary Clinton and not only to keep those fascist Right Wingers who are all morons and bigots but to bring some Athenticity, Truth, Integrity, Commitment to Equality and Leadership to the democratic party.
I alluded to how the use of drones results in too many innocent people being blown apart. There is still a cloak of secrecy surrounding exactly what happened at the compound where Bin Laden was killed.
Killing the leaders of the 9/11 attack is not what will bring on leaders who are more dangerous. It is their mission to effect change through violence and terrorism. I am not defending our military policies and hope the 99% movement will play a part in changing those policies. You're right, that doesn't seem to be happening yet, but there is a growing majority who want this country out of the war business, including the operations in Kuwait.
Are you running for office?
The Bay of Pigs was a legacy program planned by Eisenhower and left to JFK to perform. He was briefed and encouraged to do the Bay of Pigs operation by the Military (Joint Chiefs) and CIA whom he questioned and distrusted. He told them that if they weren't sure it would work he would not approve it and if they went in they had to understand that he would provide NO ADDITIONAL SUPPORT, either military or political. He demanded that they assure him that they already had everything they needed. They insisted they did.
When they invaded and it immediately became apparent that they would fail without additional support they asked for military units that they had stashed away in Guatemala. Kennedy refused, reminding them that they had assured him that they had promised success without additional forces.
He made them withdraw and took the blame but he also hated the CIA after that and vowed to "break the CIA into a thousand pieces." And then he was assassinated...
NEVER VOTE REPUBLICAN
I'm no terrorist sympathizer either but do you not believe that all of the victims of our aggression feel the same way about their losses that you do about your losses ??? As another commenter said, nothing happens in a vacuum and there are consequences to our actions, like the creation of terrorists, and more terror on our part is not going to decrease the terror on their part. We need to stop the terror and the best place to start is on our end. How do you think the people in those countries feel about their innocent dead and wounded who are "collateral damage" from our intent to murder the terrorist leaders? Do you honestly believe this will do anything to end the violence? It has nothing to do with being a terrorist sympathizer.
I have pointed out to many people that OBL was on the FBI's Ten Most Wanted List but not for 9/11. He was listed on there for the Cole and Embassy bombings. They were questioned about why he wasn't on there for 9/11 and they said exactly what you reported. "We have no information linking him to the 9/11 attacks." So why did we start all these wars? And why have all the people on all sides been killed and maimed?
And the last and most important question is- Who was really responsible for the 9/11 and Anthrax attacks? Could it have been the people who prospered?
Follow the money...........
Never votge Republican.
They are the ones who got us into this mess we are in. Allround.
And I am a woman and my body belongs to me and no one else.
When I hear of the deaths of most of these commanders, I tend to react with the same feelings as I do when I hear of deaths of US commanders and soldiers. To me they're the same, and I'm puzzled why others see the so-called "enemy" fundamentally different than so-called "us." Are we not aware that the basis by which all sides fight in these conflicts are set by a nebulous group of rich and powerful people? All these fighters are in the same boat, fighting for what they believe, in most cases brainwashed into the idea that there's no alternative than to kill the "enemy." I myself don't have the same beliefs and regard the fighting as a form of insanity, and lament the fact that history cannot teach us its true lessons.
I keep my condemnation focused on the decision makers, whom I identify as top politicians (Bush, Obama, etc.) and people in banking, corporations, and the military, making enormous money and power on the carnage. I see no counterpart on the "enemy" side, at that level - the fundamental decision level. I see that "our" side is the fundamental actor causing the conflict, though I don't agree with many of the tactics by the "enemy" leaders. In truth, it's us people, now referred to as the 99%ers, on one side and the decision makers on the other.
Saddam Hussein suggested that he and Bush fight a duel rather than starting a war.
Bush chickened out-and besides-his corporate sponsors wouldn't have made much of a profit that way.
A good analogy is to review the history of the White European's decimation of the native American peoples. Most of us now see it for what it was: naked aggression in order to acquire land. No reasonable person now would justify the white action by saying it was defensive, or that it was justified, because "the Indians attacked and killed innocent white settlers." This statement is true, but it's not an important part of our reasoning process, when looking back in hindsight, in sorting out who's fundamentally responsible. It's obvious now that the White society was the aggressor.
So too the case now with the Muslim world. If I'm allowed to dream, I see a future with all US leaders behind bars for the war crimes they are responsible for.
In short, the treatment of our OWN people, within our OWN borders, hardly qualifies us to rule as the Hall Monitor of the World.
Unfortunately, once the genii is out of the bottle, it is difficult to put back.
To READERZ
Occupiers: "Freedom in Handcuffs".
Lest you all forget, we attacked their nations, we murdered kazillions of their innocent children, their mothers and their grandmothers. How do you define terrorist? WHAT KIND OF MEN WOULD THESE LEADERS BE (those we have "droned" in on), if they did not try to defend their innocents and kill as many members of the invading army's soldiers they can, with their inferior weaponry? What do you expect them to do, sit, PRAY, and twiddle their thumbs? Yet one of you idiots calls them "devils"?
Getting back to the thesis of Cockburn's article--Backlash-- we might add another result. They might return the favor, and murder a few of our supermen. Now, how would you wingers like that?
No wonder they killed Bin Laden, just imagine a trial where he was able to take the stand! But American's are "slow learners". A trial was exactly what we needed.
Peace,
Will 6/11
Still, we let them walk free with no investigation or charges.
Sharia Law will be instituted in Libya and it is a fact that members of the NTC rebels were also Al Quaeda members. Human rights groups have also documented cases of torture rape and execution of Black Libyans. Qaddafi was executed so that we can control Libya's oil.
We have to ask ourselves is all of this killing worth it? We sacrifice the lives of others so that we can drive our gas guzzling cars.
And why not vote for Republicans sometimes. How are the Democrats any different in office?
Don't forget who killed who first during 911. We had every right to take out the one responsible; in fact it should have been done 10 years earlier.
read here bit of US history of killing -
readersupported news.org/opinion2/287-124/8264-can-revolutionary-pacifism-deliver-peace
I admire your patriotism. cdcl44, but this is not the time for BLIND. non-critical patriotism.
Like the guy in DOD said, "I know that Saddam has WMD's. I have the delivery receipts right here."
Confirm numbers: 200 to 400 BILLION barrels.
Bin Laden could have been captured and we might have learned more about him and his followers. We might even know the truth about 9/11. Yet he was killed even though unarmed.
And Mr. Obama has continued with drone attacks and the killing of Kadafi. Who next? There are indications that Hillary and Obama are catering to Israeli demands for an attack on Iran too. Just what we need--more war.
Add to this already sickening scenario that we sanctioned torture and secret prisons, and the image of the nation is in pretty dire straits!
So far we have not seen a single peace initiative come from the Obama White House. I guess they simply think that killings, drone attacks and the like are going to win peace. And we will finally rid the world of terrorists. Sure.
Sorry, but I continue to be ashamed of our nation's behavior.
Once assassination is accepted as a legitimate tool of government policy, it is another step on the way to using it to intimidate political opposition. So we're right back to the law of the jungle, from which we have, as a society, sought to free ourselves, starting with the Magna Carta, then through the Glorious Revolution in England, the American Revolution, the Constitution, the Bill of Rights, the liberation of the slaves, female suffrage, the civil rights movement, and so on. Was that all for nothing, just so, in the end, warlords can bump off inconvenient people?
If we do not, then you can bet that no one is safe at home from the injured abroad who will wreek the same violence on the criminals in hiding in the US.
Say hello to the new "collateral damage".
Cartoons! We've been watching too many. Sure, they took out a few bad guys, and nobody who is good gets hurt... only in cartoons.
Well, we know how many mistakes certain countries make about assassination; they frame the wrong person, then in cold blood take them out. (I'm not speaking of the U.S., but what if they convince the U.S. to go along, and the U.S. doesn't care, or wants to push a right-wing agenda anyway?)
What we then have is a boatload of assassins running around, and you too get to be in your very own personal spy movie. Trouble is, you didn't train like those characters in the movies. There was a case in my little city about 16 years ago; nobody could figure out why, because there was nothing that the victim had done anywhere in the world to warrant being taken out by a foreign agent.
Yes, I'm scared. If the white shirts can do all sorts of crazy things to peaceful demonstrators, their boss's boss can do the same to perceived threats in your own home. It sounds paranoid. It isn't. It's the facts. Use the buddy system; keep your friends up to date as to your whereabouts. In places where people disappear, they have a better chance of being found if their friends know they are missing.
www.globalpost.com/dispatch/news/regions/middle-east/111024/gaddafi-sodomized-video-gaddafi-sodomy
watch Hillary freedom fighters - US liberation - tribe will get revenge and Americans will again ask? Why ..
Why do you think these people, some of whom were our friends in the past and were supported by this government, were killed instead of being brought to trial? Why do you think we never heard the testimony by SAdam Husain during his trial, only his outbursts?
Could it be that we didn't want our citizens to hear what he had to say about his prior relationship with the US? About his meetings with Rumsfeld? And if Bin Laden or Kadafi were brought to trial? What secrets would they have told about their prior relations with the US? Dead men tell no secrets. There will be many more killings of people who have knowledge we don't want the world to hear.
And what about Bradley Manning? The information he shared with Wikipedia were wrong doings by our Government and our Military and needed to be exposed.
Whistleblowers should be praised, not held in Solitary confinement and tortured. Bradley Manning and other whistleblowers deserve our support. They are attempting to keep our government honest and deserve our support.
And what about the prisoners at Guantanamo who have been there for years? What kind of information could be relavent after all these years? And do you think all of these people actually had contact with Bin Ladin and knew what he was planning? Probably the same number of our field troops have had contact with our President and are familiar with our military tactics.
Our people know practically nothing about the crimes our government has committed in the past and continue to do.
It all makes me sick!
OBL took credit for the murders on 911.
Now we let police beat, shoot at( rubber bullets and other projectiles)and arrest peaceful Americans and they go scott free?
Yet, we are upset because our international police kill a self proclaimed killer.
Policemen do it everyday, and some of these American CITIZENS are innocent, but have been judged and executed without benefit of capture and due process.
There is something whacky going on in minds that churn out this stuff and failed to see that OBL himself created a "backlash" on himself.It is the outcome of violence .
I don't know what to do about the FBI and CIA.
It is shocking that we are no longer a nation of laws but of men, no longer a nation of laws but of Obama.
None of the ongoing wars is justified. "Make the oeople afraid and they will do anything you tell them to do." I read that statement, made by one of Hitler's top advisers. Now it is cycling around again and we in America, have learned nothing from it.
Most of the criminals of WWII were caught or surrendered after the war was over. Sometimes long over.
We still do not know what happened to Hitler.
We knew when WWII was over.
This is not the case with those who have been killed on the Terroist field which is a totally different field of war.
Iraq was more like WWII and there was a captrue and a trial , if you can call it that.
Lybia was totally unlike WWII because we had no troops on the ground and Mr. K was killed, excuse me, "assassinated" by his own people, as was Mussolini( WWII).
We don't know how many crinimals were "assassinated" during these wars.
When one of our Generals are killed on the battle field is that and assassignation?
We try to make all these polite rules for killing or justify killing .
If we kill someone in the 1% of a county it is an assassignation and we scream bloody murder.
Nothing is being said for the hundreds of thousands of the 99% that were killed with our bombs by the Republican administraion of George Bush.
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